Updated on December 1, 2025, 9:22 AM EST (Toronto Time)
Next Express Entry Draw Expectations
As Canada heads into December 2025, numerous Express Entry candidates are eagerly anticipating the upcoming draw after a busy month in November.
November saw a series of category-based Express Entry draws, a significant increase in French-language invitations, continued activity in the Canadian Experience Class, and consistent rounds for provincial nominees.
These consecutive draws have set a pattern that shapes the expectations for December.
This month may not necessarily follow past December trends, but rather, insights are drawn from the pace and volume of activities in 2025 itself.
In November, there were seven rounds across various streams, reflecting a similar rhythm maintained by IRCC since late summer. This movement allows for projections on expected invitation ranges and CRS cutoffs for each category if draws persist.
The analysis specifically focuses on categories frequently targeted by IRCC this year, offering forecasts for anticipated ITAs and CRS cutoffs based on recent trends in 2025.
How 2025 Patterns Influence December Expectations
Since September, IRCC has consistently conducted draws in clusters, with some weeks having two or three rounds, especially during peak periods of activity.
November exemplified this pattern with rapid CEC, French, PNP, and healthcare draws.
French selections continue to gain momentum, with the highest invitation totals in 2025. Recent rounds have seen 6,000 ITAs issued, indicating IRCC’s comfort in issuing significant numbers towards the year’s end.
CEC draws have been the most steady, typically issuing 1,000 ITAs per round with CRS scores in the 530-534 range.
PNP draws have shown notable fluctuations, ranging from under 200 to nearly 900 since the PNP allocation increase under the new immigration levels plan.
Healthcare, trades, and education-focused draws are used to balance category distribution.
Predicted Draw Types for December 2025
Based on the trends in 2025, the Express Entry draws in December 2025 are likely to align with the streams that have been consistently present over the past ten months, following IRCC’s category-based structure for the year.
Predicted ITAs and CRS score Ranges For December 2025
The predictions below offer conservative and realistic ranges based on recent trends.
French Language Proficiency Predictions
- Low range: 4,000
- High range: 7,000
ITA Predictions
- Low range: 395 to 405
- High range: 410 to 420
Scores have seen a downward shift through fall, particularly after larger rounds.
